In the
article, you can find estimates of both the short-run and long-run elasticities
of gasoline demand. To find the latter, you have to read carefully and apply
some of the tools you have just lamed.
The Perks of
Pump Avoidance
Higher
gasoline prices are dealing out the wallets motorists but there may be a silver
lining: Traffic is somewhat lighter on the heavily congested freeways and
surface streets of Sou them California.
It only
makes sense that the sharply higher price at the pump are leading some people
to avoid discretionary trips with their cars carpooling when possible and
shifting to public transportation.
Although
there are no hard data yet a broad range of experts say there is evidence that people
are buying less gasoline and finding ways to avoid using their cars
contributing to less congestion on the toads.
We have
noticed that volumes are lighter than normal said Frank Quoin deputy director of cultural freeway operations for Les Angles county. We haven’t done a study.
But we aren’t experiencing as much congestion and travel times are shorter..
Meanwhile Sou-land public trans portation agencies are reporting that ridership has
jumped in the first months of 2005 up between 3% and 12% depending on the
system.
Anecdotally
a lot of people I talk to say they are seeing the effect every day which has
cut their commute times dramatically. Normally jammed freeways are mysteriously
wide open.
If people
are indeed cutting back on driving avoiding discretionary trips carpooling and
using public transportation it should mean that gasoline sales volumes are
dropping.
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